Bromleyisms

I read the Atlantic Monthly, for it’s perspectives vary, usually without hitting one political extreme or another. I can count on every issue to evoke thought and bring to me something new or learned.

The lead article of the February issue was “How America Can Rise Again,” by James Fallows, a long time correspondent for the magazine. Over the past year or so Fallows has submitted some rather fascinating articles on China, where he lived for a few years.

It wasn’t until this piece of advice to America that I was every truly bothered by Fallow’s latent, condescending leftism. He’s usually a pretty good observer. Do know this about him: he was a speechwriter for Jimmy Carter. This article was just stupid, now.  Not for its content but for the impetuous and constant use of the term “teabaggers” used as an insult upon the members of the “tea party” movement.

But I got to thinking: why would the editors leave the insult in multiple place? Wouldn’t a calm, detached, editorial review remove the demeaning reference? 

Not only not does the Atlantic editorial stance find no offence in Fallow’s blandishment of the tea bag, the reference seems the standing editoral policy. A search of “tea bag,” teabagger,” etc. yields several hundred uses of the derogative, a quite a few in the headline.  What’s up with that?

If you don’t know it, and our dear President knows it and has used it purposefully, the “tea bag” is a reference to dropping testicals into the mouth.  Before Obama used the deliberate detraction, I was not in the know on this one.  The online urban dictionaries define it as between a man and a women, but that’s not it: it’s a gay thing. (doh)

The President, The Atlantic, and all the “teabagger” enthusiasts are doing this purposefully and with clear vindiction and ugly contempt.  I’m just left wondering how a gay slur gets thrown at supposedly bigotted right-wingers?  There’s some serious self-loathing therein, especially coming from Andrew Sullivan (and Obama?). And why doesn’t Gay America and Porn America object?  Where’s the hate of hate? Where’s the outrage?

Teabag?  It’s gross, and ought to be left in the bedroom, and not on the streets of political loathing.  Shame on you, Atlantic Monthly.

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Here for National Review’s article on the origin and use of the term

Here in the Blizzard of ‘10, I’ve been nothing but happy – snow, snow, my dog, the fireplace — and a kickass F150 4×4 w/ huge wheels.   Nothing has gotten in the way of the truck, not snow banks, not ice, not the Jersey barriers built up by the snow plows:

"Thunk" devouring snow (Dec/09)

My neighbors have all been quiet these days, despite my offer to toss their Subarus, Range Rovers and Jeeps into the back of my truck and give ‘em a lift to the grocery store.  They’re so depressed that they won’t even take me up on offers for beer runs.  Nevertheless, they come around, asking for an extra key for the family of a newborn, asking to trade a six-pack for driving down the snow in front of their driveways, or generally looking at my beast with envy.  I have standing offers for rides to the nearest Ford dealer — only wife intervention has stopped two or three of these from being taken up.

Nothing like taking away peoples’ cars to remind them how much they love ‘em.

Which reminds me of this article from last July, well before Winter fell upon the world like the Lion, the Witch, & the Wardrobe:

 Enjoying the sunset of the automobile era

A “non-driver,” the author claimes not to “hate cars,” but does certainly hate their amazing impact on the world, which comes down to its having “spread everything out far beyond human scale.”   So we get the usual complaints about malls, suburbia, and accidents.  Whateva, and nothing new therein.  What is new is that the fear and hatred that birth the ideal of a car-free world just ain’t happening.  We’re still not running out of fuel; we’re still not not using our automobiles.  And every crisis, from the snow-bound, to geopolitics and $5 gasoline, merely reinforces the dire imperative that is the automobile. 

Cars are a blessing.  Cars have made the world so much the better — not for extending it “far beyond human scale,” but quite the reverse, for extending the human scale across space, time, and climate.  All the fuss out of Washington over “energy independence” means nothing to the simple fact that Americans will always and ever want and need their cars.

I’ve expressed in these pages my doubts over the hysterical wish that leads the thought of salvation through hybrids and electrics and mass transportation.  I have no problem with technological advance; I loathe the self-satisfaction of the gasoline-haters who would deny its imperative despite its enormous utility, who emote solutions over practicing them.  Meanwhile, our truck, a magnificent hunk of steel and glass, at 12 mpg is serving my community, my family, and my basic human needs like nothing else out there.  I’m on call at the hospital, I’m making tracks for my neighbors, and I’m riding safe on treacherous roads.  God bless the internal combustion engine.

only fools were out there unless they had my truck

Last Autumn, a Reuters reporter called to discuss the implications of the government takeover of Chrysler.   The GM debacle was not yet clear, and it seemed to most a simple matter of extending TARP-like billions (“bill-yuns”)  to Chrysler to get it through the hump.  The reporter was interested in the connections therein to the British government takeover of Leyland back in 1975, a story that did not end well.

I wasn’t much helpful, since I had little to add to the history.  He knew that British-Leyland’s story didn’t end well, although some of the brands survived as firesales to other players, such as Jaguar (picked up by Ford), Mini (BMW’s salvage operation), Rover (BWM, then Ford), and a few other divisions that went similar directions.  What I did say was that once the government owned a company, it would do its best to protect its holding.  Since there wasn’t anything to say about that before the Chrysler takeover, it wasn’t quotable.   What went was my comment about the origins of Chrysler as a phoenix born of the ashes of other failed companies (here for the article, Over 80 years, turbulence Chrysler’s one constant )

Meanwhile, there’s been little to show of my prediction that a government-owned company would use the authority and power of its owner to promote it.  Well, that is, outside of the Government takeover through a sham bankruptcy and reorganization giveaway to the UAW — which was wholly political.  Nevertheless, the U.S. Government has remained neutral in the market since its takeover of Chrysler and GM.

Just wait.  Oh yes:

Obama Administration Says It Is ‘Not Finished With Toyota
The Obama administration toughened its stance toward Toyota Motor Corp. on Tuesday, saying it is still reviewing possible safety defects in the company’s vehicles and weighing other actions. “We’re not finished with Toyota and are continuing to review possible defects and monitor the  mplementation of the recalls,” Transportation Secretary Ray LaHood said in a statement. Another DOT official said the agency is considering a civil penalty against the Japanese auto  aker. Mr. LaHood, in his statement, said “while Toyota is taking responsible action now, it  nfortunately took an enormous effort to get to this point.”

It wasn’t a matter of principle — it was a matter of timing, simply.  Here we go.

==============updates

Feb 4, 2010: I guess I’m not the only one seeing this way… Is US bullying Toyota on recall?

Feb 18: Toyota Recall Raises Questions About Conflict of Interest

Feb 19:  must be getting hot over there at DOT:  U.S. says no GM ownership conflicts in Toyota case

March 5: it keeps getting worse.  Here for some Toyota dealers who see through the “crisis: Scranton Toyota dealer blames politics

I’m now a certified adobe hater. I hate flash. I hate the reader.  I hate ‘em so much I refuse to capitalize ‘em properly.  Not getting my respect here. 

Here’s some of my hate:
* I hate the way flash has so few options, and the ones it have include letting websites spy on me.
* I hate that flash won’t stay full screen on one monitor while I’m doing something else on the other screen on extended desktop (that, btw, is the biggest PC innovation since Win95!!)
* I hate reader. I hate not being able to cut/paste. I hate its update settings. I hate all the features I’ll never use.
* Mostly, I hate that adobe bought flash.
* I hate adobe’s customer service.
* I hate adobe’s developer websites, which are all you can find.
* I hate the fact that this company makes money off me.

And I’m too lazy to go find something else.  And those somethings are out there, including:

* flash alternatatives: Osalt and Gnash
* reader alternative: Foxit 

Actually, I think I’ll actually try these, especially Foxit. I’ll report back if I ever get around to it. Meanwhile, I’m just gonna generally bitch about adobe.

“I’m from Wrentham, I drive a truck and I’m asking for your vote.“

Up in Boston trying to salvage the sad campaign of Martha Coakley for the open Senate seat,  Obama went after her opponent, Scott Brown, he of the “pick up truck” campaign.  Unknown, lacking party support, and with no cash and a GM pickup, Brown started his campaign the old fashioned way, by driving around to meet the voters — in the truck.  

I count no less than six references in Obama’s speech to Brown’s truck — and all of them lame: “think long and hard about getting in that truck” … “park his truck on Wall Street” … “everybody can buy a truck.”

That last one is the problem, Mr. President.  The speechwriters – gasp, or Obama? — thought they could ridicule Brown’s populist campaign by making fun of the pickup truck as common.  Talk about elitist nonsense. Clearly neither the President nor his staff have noted these numbers:

Last year, the Ford F-Series line of pickups outsold the General Motors Chevrolet Silverado line by 97,081 units, according to Autodata. That made the F-Series the best-selling truck in 2009. In addition, the F-Series has been the best-selling vehicle of any kind in the U.S. for 28 consecutive years (Freep.com)

The pickup truck is America’s people’s car.  It’s the ongoing Model T, the Bug, the Everyman’s Car, the whatever you want to call the most popular vehicle in the U.S.A.   Brown’s got a GM, and he’ s put almost 200,000 miles on it, much of it during the campaign. And he used it for the same reason the pickup outsells all other models by far: utility.  In Brown’s case, he could fit campaign signs in the bed, while comfortably traveling around in a 4-door passenger vehicle.

Once again, this President hasn’t a clue about cars.  Too bad he runs two of our last three car companies…

Compare Brown’s take on the truck to Obama’s.

Earlier in the year I cataloged the rather extraordinary bankruptcy and reorganization schemes of Chrysler and GM that benefited the UAW over just about everyone, including the taxpayers.  Now it gets worse:

GM Sheds Billions In Costs Today
The UAW’s VEBA Trust now has the health care cost burden
Starting today, January 1, 2010, General Motors will be freed of billions in health care liabilities. Last May, as part of GM’s efforts to restructure out of court, they and the United Auto Workers union agreed to an amended version of the 2007 contract. Included in those revisions were for the union to take over nearly all of members’ health care costs.

Prior to today GM was liable for nearly $2 billion per quarter in health care costs related to both active and retired UAW members. Starting today the UAW’s Voluntary Employee Beneficiary Association (VEBA) Trust will take over responsibility for those costs. As part of the contract, yesterday GM transferred a $10 Billion payment to the VEBA Trust from their pension fund. Additional funding for the VEBA Trust will come from the UAW’s equity stake in New GM when the VEBA Board wishes to sell their stake and annual payments to the fund by GM, and eventually Chrysler and Ford. Additionally, next week GM will issue $9 Billion in preferred stock to the VEBA fund with a 7% dividend. …. Today’s health care cost reductions come in addition to just over $30 Billion in non-cash liabilities and nearly $27 Billion in debt that GM was freed of in it’s June 2009 bankruptcy filing

Translation:  the stock transfer to the UAW that was supposed to fulfill the — UNSECURED — obligations of GM to the union health care and retirement funds — has now paid an additional $10 billion dividend — plus another $7 billion in preferred stock… !

This is beyond gross, beyond corrupt.  And it continues as precisely as it commenced, a bailout not of an industry or a company, but of a labor union.  So much for clarity. So much for honesty.  Just gross.

================

And for more gross, see:

Nonunion Delphi Employees Get Shaft in Auto Bailout

asdf

A couple interesting headlines contra-juxtaposed from today:

Autos: Diesels could outrun hybrids in 2010
Plug-in hybrids may generate more eco-buzz when the calendar flips, but diesels could prove more powerful in revving up the automotive economy.

Now measure it against this:

2011 Mustang GT to have even more horses under the hood
Ford Motor Co. announced Monday that it plans to introduce an all-new 5.0-liter, V8 engine for its 2011 Mustang GT in the spring. The V8 engine will deliver 412 horsepower and 390 pound-feet of torque – 87 more horsepower than the outgoing engine.

Diesels, now just over half the European passenger car market (source here), are said to be headed towards 10% of U.S. cars by 2015.  For diesels to make it to 10% of the markets, sales would have to grow exponentially to move up from today’s 2.1% share (here).  By comparison, hybrids currently hold 2.7% of the market (roughly 270,000 cars), and are expected to reach 3.2% next year and 7% by 2015 (here).

For diesel to treble its marketshare in five years, its distribution business would have to grow exponentially as well: as of 2006 only 42% of filling stations sold diesel (here).  As hybrids use gasoline, the technology would seem more congruent with current infrastructure, yet the expected growth is less.   The reason for this is that diesel has existing manufacturing structures, while hybrids require new materials, new technologies, and new designs.  But there’s a larger reason why this growth is self-limited:

Expectations for alternative fuels and engine technology are not market-driven, not-technology-driven, and not consumer-driven.  It’s politics and hysteria.  Fact is, gasoline engines are more useful, more versatile, and more  difused across manufacturing, distribution, service, and consumption than all other technologies.  That doesn’t mean things won’t change, but they won’t change because none of the “solutions” for the gasoline-powered internal combustion engine really solve anything:

*  Hybrids-cost more in the premium paid than the normal ownership lifetime of fuel savings.  Worse, as a compromise technology, hybrids just don’t satisfy the full wants and needs to automobile manufacture and use.  They stink on the highway, leaving the only viable market city-use, which is ridiculous since most driving miles occur on highways. 

* Diesel’s success in Europe is due to tax policy, which won’t fly in this country.  Subsidies, tax breaks, and tax punishment of gasoline led to — oh, only half of cars in Europe going diesel.  I guess gasoline is just too good to completely let go… 

The only way to change is to force change through government mandate, as was done in Europe with diesel (and after WWI and II, with tax policies aimed at limiting engine size).  Thankfully, a remaining salvation for this nation is the direct representation of constituents, which makes it difficult that “for-the-higher-good” government decisions to be imposed, such as a huge tax hike on gasoline.  It won’t happen; too many diverse interests across geography and the economy would halt such a tax scheme.  Perhaps the market and geopolitics will bring us back $4-$5 gasoline, but that’s always and ever a momentary spike.  There’s just too damned much oil out there (see North Dakota’s oil boom), and gasoline is just too damned useful.

* Electrics: whatever. It’s the current salvation for Chevrolet and its parent, GovermentMotors, and that’s about it.

Here’s what’s really happening: with the higher CAFE fuel requirements, U.S. makers will have to offer super-high fuel efficiency small and other cars in order to offset the averages of the cars that consumers really want, especially SUVs and pickups.  Mustangs and horsepower lust won’t just go away, and unlike Europe, where peformance has been taxed into a luxury option,  it’ll be political suicide for Congress or a President to try and pry away the V8 from middle America.  Won’t happen.  Think NASCAR. 

The solution is for the manufacturers to mix in as hyper-efficient cars to run intereference for the cars that sell.  Watch Ford push the Fiesta; watch GM move the Saturn hybrids across other platforms (see here). Watch GM push the EPA to list the Chevy Volt at 200 mpg.  Watch Chrysler go diesel and Fiat-engined small… all the while all of them crank out pickups, SUVs, performance and “mid sized” passenger cars. So get used to more conflicting, confused headline mixes on automobiles, where the hysteria for green doesn’t seem to jibe with ongoing news of horsepower races between Camaros, Challengers and Mustangs.

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Hybrid sales update Jan 7/2010:

From the less bad news than the other guy department:

Market share rises for hybrid vehicles
Hybrid cars and light trucks gained U.S. market share in 2009 as sales of the fuel-efficient models declined at less than half the rate for all vehicles.Consumers bought 290,415 hybrids, led by Toyota’s Prius, according to data compiled by Bloomberg News. That was an 8.1% drop from the previous year, as U.S. auto sales tumbled 21%. Hybrids accounted for 2.8% of total deliveries, rising from 2.4% in 2008. Fewer people purchased hybrids for a second straight year as the recession curbed U.S. auto demand and the average price for gasoline fell.

Section 4. The United States shall guarantee to every State in this Union a Republican Form of Government, and shall protect each of them against Invasion; and on Application of the Legislature, or of the Executive (when the Legislature cannot be convened) against domestic Violence.

Now that Ben Nelson has traded his conscience for a blank check paying for his state’s additional costs of Medicare, I wonder that the deal also comes at the expense of Nebraska’s “Republican Form of Government”?

As a matter of equity, this deal ought to be  repugnant to all other states not similarly guaranteed the protection; as a matter of public decency, this deal is self-evidently corrupt; as a matter of state soveriegnty this deal removes it, and to my mind removes Nebraskan self-governance and auto-responsibility, which are the essence of the “Republican Form of Government.”

Nelson has traded Nebraskan sovereignty for party politics.  The state is now free of the obligation to control its Medicare expenses, and is, thereby, just another federal dependent.

Not that every other massive, politically-motivated federal wastage isn’t the same*; when is it just one too many?

* and poor logic: the old “everybody does it” game won’t stand it court, won’t stand ethically, and won’t stand in logic, by which it is known as a “false comparison” (or two wrongs don’t make a right)

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12/23/09: Looks like this one may have legs:

Conn. considering lawsuit if Nebraska gets money

and it’s getting serious here, from 12/30/09:

13 Republican Attorneys General Threaten Lawsuit Over Health Care
Republican attorneys general in 13 states say congressional leaders must remove Nebraska’s political deal from the federal health care reform bill or face legal action, according to a letter provided to The Associated Press Wednesday

Wards Auto is the latest to prick the Clunkers balloon:

According to data compiled by Wards Auto, the average gas mileage of a new car bought in August this year was 23 miles per gallon.  (my emphasis; from the SD Argus Leader  ‘Clunkers’ keeps guzzlers on road)

And…. (drum roll) .. the national average for new car sales under the Clunkers program was… yep! … 24.9 mpg.

You got it: all those billyuns and billyuns spent saving fuel went to… uh, a… an increase of 1.9 mpg — ON AVERAGE! — over two months. Go Guv’mint! Go climate change!

And the lies still pile on over the leading sales per make and type.  While the Argus Leader reports that 45% of South Dakotan Clunkers sales went to SUVs, pickups and vans, and nationally 41% were for the guzzlers, the Leaders still falls for the b.s. that “Across America, people bought Toyota Corollas and Honda Civics more than any other vehicles during last summer’s popular Cash for Clunkers program.” So what? 

Look, if 41% of sales went to SUVs, pickups, and vans, then, clearly, the Corolla and Civic share of the remaining 59% doesn’t amount to a significant, much less total, sales lead over the SUV/TRUCK/VAN category.  That 41% of sales were for trucks defies the premise of the entire program, and that magnificent 1.9 mpg savings over the mpg of a normal sales period is beyong negligible: it’s stupid.  So, Corollas and Civics took the plurality of 59% of sales, TRUCKS took the overhwhelming plurality of overall sales.  The brand is less important than the type of auto, which is why the government statistics focus so on the brand: to hide the strength of truck sales. 

From the Argus Leader:

Additional Facts
BY THE NUMBERS
A closer look at Cash For Clunker data from the nation and South Dakota:
2,441: Number of new vehicles sold by South Dakota dealers in the program.
$10,278,500: Amount in rebates for which clunkers traded in South Dakota qualified for in rebates.
3: Number of trucks in South Dakota that made the top 10 for new-vehicle purchases under clunkers – the Chevy Silverado, Ford F150 and Dodge Ram. All three have four-wheel drive and get less than 17 mpg. Nationally, no trucks made the top 10.**
45: Percent of South Dakota’s clunker sales that went to Sioux Falls dealers. Rapid City dealers accounted for 328 rebates.
50: Percentage of South Dakotans who traded in a truck, sport utility vehicle or van and bought a car in return under the clunkers program.

** BUT: nationally, TRUCKS sold 4/10 vehicles. I’d make that a clear no. 1 seller.

Moral hazard? Unintended Consequence? Or just plain foolishness?

Not even getting in to the inane cost of the “cash for clunkers” program : a staggering, stupidly useless $24,000 per new customer (see Taxpayers’ real cost of cash for clunkers: $24,000 a car – and don’t bother with the White House attempts to smother & smear this story…), and without getting in to the fanciful consumer and GDP numbers as result of the program, the Cash for Clunkers has done nother more than screw, rescrew, and strip the used-car market of all normalcy.

Real simply, over the summer of Clunkers, the used-car market was deprived of almost 700,000 vechicles. Guess what happens to prices when supply is reduced? Yep, used car prices have jumped tremendously and stupidly.

Worse, since the used-car is the entrance for many consumers, the dirth of quality, under-$5,000 cars has screwed the low-end market. Used cars have always been the great American Model T. Now, thanks to this artificial sales boost, the sole option for so many low-income, off-the-rader Americans has been denied.

Stupid is as stupid does. Will the idiots in DC who voted up this program admit of its mal effects?

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Follow up Jan 4, 2010: 

Catch-22 for clunkers: Auto dealers say the CARS program has spurred a ‘horrible’ shortage of used vehicles

Your government is all excited about the “”Wildly Successful” Cash for Clunkers Wraps Up with Nearly 700,000 Car Sales, Increased Fuel Efficiency,” and really, really excited that “Eighty-four percent of consumers traded in trucks and 59% purchased passenger cars” (from http://www.nhtsa.gov/).

(and did you miss that NHTSA ran the “CARS” program?? — why NHTSA? Well, well…)

The Media has already picked up the story that Toyota was the largest seller, and that no GM models made the “Top Ten.”   Really?  I mean, really?

Here’s the problem: as Edmunds.com already discovered, vehicle “models,” as counted by EPA regs separates vehicles by engine size and drive train, so a Ford F150 2wd will count as a separate “model” from a 4wd or another 2wd with a different engine.  See this from CNN:

NHTSA, the agency responsible for running Cash for Clunkers, was not immediately able to respond to a request for official Clunker sales tallies of several vehicles, including all their variations. When presented with Edmund’s analysis, the agency didn’t dispute that the way in which it counted the vehicles would tend to reduce the totals of vehicles with many variations.
(“Trucks win in Cash for Clunkers game” dated Aug 7)

And before the Media freak uncontrollably, do note that while Toyota outsold GM, it did so only by this much:

New Vehicles Manufacturers
Toyota 19.4%
General Motors 17.6%
Ford 14.4%
Honda 13.0%

When those sales are translated into distinct models distinguished by drivetrain, the Toyota strategy of fewer nameplates pays, while GM’s multi-brand of similar models goes punished — statistically only.  Ford’s 14.4% number is probably represents a stronger correlation to the Toyota numbers, and it ain’t bad at that. GM’s number is quite strong, actually.  What we’re not being told is how is that GM took almost 18% of sales in the CARS program, yet didn’t register a single “Top Ten” model.

The larger problem here is that these numbers will be used by the Media and by the Government — oh, which OWNS General Motors and Chrysler — that in order for the U.S. companies to compete they must build small cars. It’s coming, truly.  As I’ve pointed out on earlier posts, Obama has already declared his intent to push GM and Chrysler into the small car, and there’s no way, if that is the goal, the opportunity to push that agenda won’t be missed, including by using these skewed numbers from NHTSA.

Regardless of the reality of consumer demand, if GM/Chrysler/USGov get fully into the building of small cars, the government will want to cover its exposure and use its powers of coercion to mandate the success of those cars.  And, again, these lame, misleading, and, honestly, decieptful statistics will be used to make the bad case.

Before they get all too excited, let’s await for the real numbers, please?

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Update 9/18/09 from Edmunds:

Edmunds.com Final Tally: Cash for Clunkers Buys, Trades; Ford Focus No. 1 Buy
Edmunds.com has completed its final tally of the most popular vehicle purchases and most frequent trade-ins under the Cash for Clunkers. The Ford Focus held its No. 1 spot as the favorite buy; the Ford Explorer remained the No. 1 trade-in.

Indeed, the top 10 lists in both categories wound up little changed from the early scoring on Edmunds.com’s lists.  And, in fact, many of the top clunker buys are the industry’s bestsellers in non-clunker times. Eight of the 10 vehicles on the top 10 clunker buy list are also in the top 10 for the year so far in total; only the order is changed.

Two vehicles rose significantly in the rankings, however. The Ford Escape jumped to third place from 12th place during the Cash for Clunkers program. The Hyundai Elantra soared to the No. 10 spot for favorite clunker buys from its typical No. 21 position.  Eight of the 10 were small to mid-size cars or small SUV/crossovers. Still, two of the top 10 were the nation’s most popular pickup trucks all of the time, the Ford F-150 and the Chevrolet Silverado. Both Ford and General Motors have improved the fuel economy of its trucks, which made them eligible as clunker buys.

As was evident in the early going of the program in late July, Ford Honda and Toyota dominated the top 10 clunker buys list. Toyota and Honda were expected to benefit from the program. Ford and Hyundai were the more surprising beneficiaries.

Top 10 Clunker Buys

While the courts settle GM’s new US-UAW partnership, and the Government kicks off the next round of Detroit bailouts, this time with the “Cash for Clunkers,” I thought it’d be interesting to see what next from Chrysler and GM. 

I mean, amidst all the turmoil, from the courtroom to the factory floor where UAW desk jobs are being dumped for wrenches (say what??? yes, you heard it right:  the auto task force has demanded elimination of “at least 400″ UAW “desk jobs”  at Chrysler and GM) to the latest Cap ‘n Trade tax-n-kill excitement, we’ve got the President extolling the “new” Chrysler and GM:

Many questioned our efforts to help save GM and Chrysler from collapse earlier this year …. I thought about the hundreds of thousands of Americans whose livelihoods are still connected to the American auto industry, and the impact on an already struggling economy, especially right here in Michigan  ….  Now today, after a painful period of soul-searching and sacrifice, both GM and Chrysler have emerged from bankruptcy.  Remember, folks said there was no way they could do it?  They’ve gotten it done already, in record time — (applause) — far faster than anybody thought possible.  They’ve got a leaner structure, they’ve got new management, and a viable vision of how to compete and win in the 21st century.  Those sacrifices were shared among all the stakeholders:  workers and management; creditors and shareholders; retirees and communities.  And together, they’ve made the rebirth of Chrysler and GM possible.

It was the right thing to do.

 (from speech at Macomb Community College, Warren, Michigan, Jul 14, 2009)

Yes, “they’ve gotten it done, in record time,” sure,  LOL!  … but that jibe at “creditors and shareholders”  is downright offensive. 

Right, Prez, the “creditors and shareholders” helped you, but not themselves.  The “they” was all “you,” so the “they’” now means “us” the taxpayers along with your favored constituency, the UAW. 

Welcome to the “NEW” Chrysler and GM, folks: ”leaner structure” and “new management” (doh!) and all!   So, as GM sells the golf course and Chrysler restarts production this week, don’t you wonder what they’ll be making? Maybe this:

The Chrysler “Change”

The Chevy “Hope” 

Yeah, baby, let’s roll!

(*images from wikipedia) 

George Will put it nicely today, just how strange it is that the U.S. Government has been buying automobile companies:

 Economic policy, which became startling when Washington began buying automobile companies…

It ought to be “startling” and downright strange that the government owns these companies. Yet folks take it in stride, whatever… Think of it, though: its now government taking not just ownership but a definitive position in a business and a stake in a consumer market.  We’ve already seen the government side with the UAW over secured creditors and normal Common Law legal procedures in the Chyrsler/GM bankruptcies. As if that’s not absurd enough, now they’ve got a definitive stake in the outcome of these companies. What if the “investments” sour? Will the government simply accept the failure, or, will it next mandate their success? Imagine a bit, what that can mean:

The argument over nationalization has at its base a disagreement over the use of power.  Private companies can only exercise the powers of persuasion and contract. (Again, see earlier posts on Chrylser and the UAW on how the current regime has diluted the power of contract.)  Governments exercise the power of coercion.  A marketplace based on persuasion opens itself to competition, which foments new ideas and products that are rewarded or punished contractual partners or consumers.  Governments, however, can simply decide what will be.  Self-governance is supposed to regulate governmental demands by requiring the consent of the governed. But, really, how much of what goes on in today’s regulatory state is truly at the consent of the government.  So w have an ugly mixture of both systems, full of perverse incentives built around government and business seeking competitive advantages within, around, and through laws and regulations. Yet, competition, for the most part, survives.

What happens, though, when the government has its an incentive beyond regulating fairness, and instead built upon a direct stake in the marketplace?

A blind investment in auto companies and banks remains benign so long as it plays out according to rules of private enterprise; but once the government decides the outcomes don’t fit the policy, they will change the outcome by fiat: more taxpayer money spent propping up the companies or “persuading” consumers to buy their products over the competitors, punishment of the competition through tariffs, taxes, and other rules (such as forced collective bargaining), or outright dismantlement of the competition.  It has happened before, it is happening now. 

And it can happen here.  Choose carefully, America. Here below are two visions of public policy and automobiles, one from Venezuela, the other from India,  that are heading in opposite directions. Which shall we choose?

Take One:

Automobiles Sales Cut in Half: Uncertainty leads to stagnation of sales in the automobile sector
The Automotive Chamber said sales of vehicles in June 2009 fell to 10,518 units, 50.9% less than during the same month in 2008. During the first quarter, accumulated sales fell 47.5% compared with the same period during the previous year. This stems from the uncertainty surrounding the sector since the beginning of the year. The lack of permits for importing vehicles, persistent and prolonged delays in accessing dollars at the official exchange and labor conflicts at some assembly plants have only led to additions to the long list of buyers, who, despite the crisis, are looking to protect themselves from inflation by buying new cars. The outlook does not look any more promising if the bill regulating the buying and selling of vehicles, now before the National Assembly, passes. In the draft version, between 3% and 10% profit margins are established for dealers. “The idea is not to affect the industry, but rather to protect consumers”, ruling party Member of Parliament Elvis Amoroso said. Inflation in Venezuela reached 30.9% in 2008.   (Jul-06-2009 06:07pm)

Take Two:

The Canadian Press: Indian vehicle sales rise 3.25 per cent in June, thanks to strong demand
MUMBAI, India — India’s vehicle sales rose 3.25 per cent in June from the year before to 176,436 cars and trucks, while exports continued to grow, according to industry figures released Wednesday. Sales of passenger cars rose 8.29 per cent, to 140,243 units, while commercial vehicle sales continued their long slide, falling 12.51 per cent in June, to 36,193 units, the Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers said …. Since late last year, when the global economic slowdown began to hit India, the government has tried to stimulate demand for vehicles, cutting key interest rates and announcing government bus-buying programs. In the new budget announced Monday, Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee unveiled a slew of tax cuts and spending measures, mostly targeted at the poor in rural India, to stimulate the nation’s flagging economy. But some felt there wasn’t enough help for the auto sector. 

Venezuela has been an oddity, with its particular curse of easy oil money, but when the country allowed markets free found sucess; the opposite story is from India, a socialist country shedding itself of the deadening of state mandates. Now compare these competing visions to this:

It’s too early to say the full impact of the GM and Chrysler bankruptcies and their “re-organizations” into government and UAW play things (and such a nice toy is Chrylser for Fiat out of it all). But consumers are clear: Ford marks a better buy.

By restricting imports, Venezuela is attempting to regulate away consumer choice. India, on the other hand, is promoting consumer choice by lowering barriers to trade and industry.  We could be headed towards Venezuela on this.  Could.  Meanwhile, look for more of the same upward path for Ford as it goes the way of India, while GM and Chrysler follow Obama’s bud, Chavez, down the pit.

= = = = = = = = afterword:

Here for another fascinating juxtuposition:

1) From the Latin Business Chronicle:

Venezuela Auto Imports Plummet  
 TOP IMPORTS: Venezuela’s new import restrictions affect leading import models like the Chevrolet Optra (top) and the Ford Fusion.  Venezuela’s once-booming auto market is hit by a new auto law that is driving down imports and overall sales.  After record sales last year, Venezuela’s auto market is seeing a strong decline this year thanks to new government measures aimed at restricting imports. “The situation in Venezuela is extremely challenging,” says Eduardo Mayoral, managing director for Chrysler Latina, which oversees the company’s Latin America operations. “The tremendous bureaucracy and new regulations in the automotive industry in Venezuela…have made business very difficult.”

2) And here from “In Defence Marxism”

Venezuela: Auto workers organize to discuss “Plan Venezuela Movil” and the new Labour Law 
 On Saturday, June 21, Alan Woods was invited to attend a meeting of workers in the auto sector. He addressed the meeting of more than 600 autoworkers from all over Venezuela, in Barcelona, Anzoategui ….  comrade Alan Woods was invited to attend a meeting of workers in the auto sector. More than 600 workers from the assembly plants from all over Venezuela were present, with delegations from Mitsubishi, Macusa and Vivex in Anzoategui; Toyota in Cumaná, Sucre state; Ford and Chrysler in Valencia, Carabobo, and representatives of other unions, including those of food monopoly Polar in Anzoategui …  There were two main reasons for this national assembly, on the one hand to report to the workers on the progress of the “rectification, revision and new thrust” of the “Plan Venezuela Movil”; and on the other hand to discuss a campaign demanding the blocking of the reform of the current labour law, so that a new law can be discussed democratically by the rank and file workers … “Plan Venezuela Movil” was an initiative of the government to give companies tax breaks in order to produce low cost cars for the workers and the people. At the same time, through quotas, there was an attempt to restrict imports of cars and parts from other countries, so that more jobs would be created in Venezuela. One of the reasons for this meeting was to condemn the car companies that have flouted the plan. Out of 400,000 vehicles sold in Venezuela last year, only 10% were made in the country, while the rest were imported.

Whose side are we on?

Just ran across this “analysis” piece from MSNBC:  Obama takes swift stand on Honduras: Response to coup aimed at dispelling memories of regional interventions

So long as the response is “swift”  its okay that its incoherent.

The article follows the headline and states that Obama was “swift” and “clear”" in condemnation of the “coup” in Honduras – while at the same time declaring that the U.S. will not impose itself upon the region.  Huh?  Truly, it’s all about words with these people: declare it swiftly and clearly, then hide above it all for the sake of “non-interventionism.”

Bloody hell: which is it?  We’re either for Ahmadinejad or against him; we’re either for Zelaya, or we’re against him. Instead, we’re with Ahmadinejad and we’re with the Iranian people, but not so much as to be not with Ahmadinejad, only not entirely so as not to be with the Iranian people.  As for Zelaya, we’re for him but not for doing anything about it.

With both Iran and Honduras, we’re supposedly “for” democracy (but not going to do anything about it). But we are against a disorderly public protests, while at the same time against fascist stamping them out. And now we’re swiftly and clearly against a “military coup” whose purpose was to uphold democracy. 

No it’s not confusing at all; our president’s policies are.

Ya don’t think that Obama screwed up on Iran, and largely?

Report: Ahmadinejad says he wants public talks with Obama
TEHRAN, Iran (CNN) — Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said he wants to engage President Obama in “negotiations” before international media, a semi-official Iranian news outlet reported on Saturday. Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s re-election last month sparked global protests and unrest in Iran.  Speaking at a meeting of medical school deans, Ahmadinejad said Iran “will soon pursue a new round of diplomatic activity” amid a new position of strength for the Iranian government, the Iranian Student News Agency quotes him as saying. “I will go to the United Nations and will invite Obama to negotiations,” Ahmadinejad said, adding that such talks would be “in front of the international media, not a sit-down behind closed doors in order to talk about matters.” The Obama administration has sought dialogue with Iran but also criticized the government for its handling of unrest after disputed presidential elections. Last week, Obama said Iran’s government must justify itself not in the eyes of the United States, but in the opinion of its own people.

I never understood why McCain didn’t slam Obama harder on this business about “negotiations without preconditions” with Iran.  During last year’s election, Obama touted the line as an anti-Bush mantra (much as Bush ran against Gore with the “no nation-building” business – only Bush was willing to drop the rhetoric when challenged by reality), and it served him on the campaign. People latched onto “change,” and this “no preconditions” business rang both change and anti-Bush. I suppose that McCain was so afraid of any association with Bush that he refused to exploit Obama’s weak backhand.  McCain could have very simply pointed out that any negotiation with Iran without preconditions would be acceptance in advance of Iran’s own preconditions upon the U.S.  Obama refuses even an ante. 

(Negotiation needs a starting point: every wonder why there’s an ante in poker? A sublime form of negotiation is poker, and I’m afraid our Commander in Chief feels himself above that cowboy game.)

In diplomacy as in a court room, one should never ask a question to which the answer is not already known.  The policy of “no preconditions” not only violates the rule, with the added bumbling over the protests in Iran, Ahmadinejad already has set the agenda.  Obama spewed so many words on the campaign, so many vapid phrases and , and as events unfold their emptiness is daily revealed. 

The protests in Iran were inspired by Bush, not by Obama and his Egypt speech.  In that speech, he stood for international “rights and responsibilities,” democracy, freedom, and so on – and, amazingly, all twisted around U.S. non-intervention. Too bad for Obama that the last eight years refuses to cooperate with his rhetoric, and the Iranian people stood up on their own for the kind of self-determination that Bush has put on Iraq, and not that of which Obama spoke in Cairo on behalf of the Mullahs and Ahmadinejad.  While Obama was bowing to the Saudi king, high-fiving Chavez, and talking to the mirror in Egypt, the Iranian people were listening to Bush and those hateful American values of self-government and free expression.

So here now is Obama stuck between his rhetoric and the people of Iran. And here’s where it became a disaster for him, and why he reacted with near bewilderment to what to Americans is a very plain circumstance of people demonstrating popular will: by siding with the people, Obama would have had to take on yet another of Bush’s legacies; by siding with the mullahs, he took on his own rhetoric, albeit with all the incongruities of Cairo and the “negotiations without preconditions.” So he tried to play between the both, and fell on his face.

Now, Ahmadinejad is playing Obama like a T-Ball: watch Obama set himself up  and swing!   Even the words of a campaign do matter, and these words of politicking, sadly, have become policy. Let’s see: any abandonment of  WMD?  any advance of openness and democracy?  Or is Iran still just another axis of evil?  Over the last three weeks Obama accomplished less than nothing; worse, he’s got nowhere to go, nowhere to start, and nowhere to land.

So what’s Obama gonna do?  Oh, say, trade our own nukes with Russia for Iran?  Hmmm….

This one warms my heart, letter to the Editors, Washington Post, June 8, 2009:

Catering to Speed Scofflaws
Joseph Scott should be ashamed of himself. As described in the June 8 Metro article “Man Hopes to Cash In on Speed Camera Law,”   Mr. Scott is the owner of a company that sells a device called PhantomAlert. This device alerts drivers to locations of speed cameras as well as places where police have been known to set up so-called speed traps.

I would like to point out that there is a better device available to help drivers avoid speeding tickets. What’s more, it’s standard on every vehicle sold. It’s called a speedometer. If you wish to avoid a speeding ticket, don’t speed. And with regard to speed cameras, you don’t even have to do that. The cameras photograph only those motorists who are driving 10 or more miles per hour over the posted speed limit.

People who are against speed cameras are in effect saying that the law doesn’t apply to them and that they have the right to drive over the speed limit. Such thinking amazes me. By selling this device Mr. Scott is aiding people in breaking the law.

DAVID BANCROFT

My dear Mr. Bancroft has a lovely heart, and is so sure of justice.  No mention whether he drives a Prius, but he’s sure from a long line of social reformers who must — simply must — make the rest of us heel:

Here from 1910, a “life-saving device” that would solve the automobile menace — a pedestrian catcher, if you will.  Truly, this made the news.  I wonder if it made the Patent Office, too?

Alas, there’s always someone who will save the rest of us from ourselves.  And most sad of all, there’s always a politician to go along and give if the force of law.  Leave us alone, Mr. Bancroft; nobody – NOBODY – drives the speed limit.  What say you, Mr. Bancroft: shall we have rev limiters attached to GPS units to keep us under 26 in the 25, or under 66 in the 65?  Or is it just a matter of degree – and who gets caught for going too far at the wrong time?

Truly, Mr. Bancroft, your speeding is no different from mine, just a lot slower.

Adobe just launched a revised version of the “free” flashplayer, and flash content being delivered on many websites requires the latest version. You have probably seen the advsiary to update the flash player. If, like me, you dutifully followed the corporate order and downloaded/installed the new flashplayer, perhaps you got lucky and it worked.

Not here. Three days, and I’m finally up to speed. Sort of.

The problem is not mine alone; google any terms revolving around flash 10 installation for Vista, IE8, Firefox, whatever, and you’ll find despair across the technical forums. Follow the expert advice, and, if you’re lucky like me, none of it will work. I followed ‘em all: uninstall, install, install in safe mode, install as administrator, blah blah. I even fell asleep at 11pm on hold with Adobe support and awoke at 7 to their hold music.

The next morning I managed to get through to the Photoshop support, which sent me to a priority line for Flash support, but even that wasn’t enough.  Told the product is “free,” and that I should just take it as it is, thereby, I threatened damnation, eternal hatred, and voodoo dolls, and the Adobe rep finally relented and worked with me.  Two hours later, he gives up and tells me to call Microsoft.  Ugh.

I don’t know what’s happened to Microsoft, but I actually got through to a tech who was amazingly helpful.  Turns out that the problem was neither Adobe nor Vista, but Norton.  My “virus” protection program was acting like a virus and keeping my system from properly registering the new update.  Hence, I am no longer a client of Norton, and the new Flash player works nicely on my Microsoft IE8.

So, if you’re having problems installing Flash 10, check out your “protection” – it might just be protecting  you from yourself.  Funny how “anti-virus” often acts the same as the things it is made to protect against: runs without your permission or knowledge, slows your computer, and generally gets in the way of a free-running system.

National Health Care: “Where the Lowest Common Denominator is the Your Highest Number”

It’s allergy season, and I needed two allergy Rx refills today, plus some more OTC Zyrtec.  Called in the refill request at 1:00 and was told it’d be ready within the hour.  Got to the pharmacy at 2:45.

There were two others before me: one was waiting around for a prescription to be filled, and the other, an old man, was at the counter arguing with the clerk.  Seems that a $3.00 Medicare co-pay was too much for him, and he wasn’t going to leave before getting his due. The one guy was entirely resigned to the wait, while the other was taking the situation for a ride. This old dude was totally lost, groping pockets for change and demanding another perscription that didn’t exist. But dammit, it was his, and he was gonna get it.  He eventually gave up, presented a credit card to cover the three bucks, and left.  The other guy was waiting still.

I moved forward and asked for my prescription. Not ready.  So I sat down with the other man, an immigrant from Egypt, turns out, and we both sat there feeling stupid.  I asked him, “How long you have to wait in Egypt?”  He laughed politely, unsure where I was going with this one.  I pointed across the Rx counter, to the top shelf where both my medicines were stacked neatly in rows.  “Look.  There’s my medicine. Both are in boxes, prepackaged. Why does it take two hours to hand it over to me? It’s right there.”  The Egyptian was still beffudled, but starting to get it. “I’d bet in Egypt you’re out of here in two seconds, right?’  He nodded agreement.  “Two hours to do paperwork, that’s all it is. Paperwork. You know why?”  He didn’t.  Hadn’t a clue.  I left him with the idea that the government made it difficult, by trying to protect us from doctors, drug companies and ourselves. “Meanwhile, I’m gonna get a heart attack from sitting here with my head exploding, then have to go through it all over again with new heart medicine.”  Now he was really getting it, nodding, laughing with me.

Then the pharmacist called me over. Looks like one of my prescriptions was a year old, and thereby expired.  It still had three refills left.  Why expired?  Virginia law.  I shook my head at the Egyptian, and he replied with a laugh.  At least my Zyrtec was there and waiting freely on the shelf outside the pharmacy.  OTC, I could grab it myself, pay for it myself, and be done.  Just two years ago I’d have had to wait those two hours to get this one filled by the paper-pushers behind the counter, and at triple the cost. Deregulation, anyone?

So I call my doctor, and the receptionist promises to call over another prescription. Now I gotta burn another gallon the Obama’s precious gasoline and fill the air with hydrocarbons in order to get my Nasacort to help  me breath easier.  As of this writing I’ve put off for another day the hated trip back to the pharmacy.  I’ll burn that fuel tomorrow, I guess.  Or whenever.

The guiding principal behind any health care “reform” should be fixing what’s wrong without sacrificing what’s presently right.  There’s so much right in what we have today.  Truly, we have a health system that can be trusted. Think about this one carefully: would you really want to end up in a British or Chinese or Egyptian hospital? Really, would you?  I was subjected to some seriously awful medical care in South America. I also got some excellent care down there, but only when it was routine.  Anything out of the ordinary was plain scary.  But there are some good things there.  My daughter was born in South America. Her mom had an entire suite to herself for three days, five nurses and two doctors. It all cost almost nothing. Her brother was born in Miami, and his mom had to share a room, share staff and doctors, and got kicked out six hours later, all for a ridiculous amount — get this: 13,000 1992 dollars. (Always make sure you have the pregnancy rider — at all times.)

But guess what: had we needed the care for something extraordinary, it wouldn’t have been there in South America.  Thank God things went perfectly for both kids.  But had they not, my son was in a far better place.  Worst of all,  the reason health care is so cheap down there is that it’s so awful for most people.  Even the rich don’t have much choice.  That’s why Miami hospitals and clinics are so full of the Latin American wealthy.

Of couse there’s so much wrong with our current health care in the U.S.. But can we really fix it without losing the incredible good in what we have now?  I don’t even want to begin to think through my little prescription episode of today under nationalized care.  Please: don’t even compare it to the DMV.  What we have today is the DMV.  What we will get under a national plan will be a much deeper, darker circle of Hell, something like… oh, say, a perverse combination of the worst of every nationalized structure.  At least the DMV can be reasonably well run in some ares.  You can thank the Lord for federalism for that.  But combine the very worst of the local DMV, the Post Office, Amtrak, Welfare, the public schools… and there you have it: nationalized care.

Here’s the larger point: today there is no “system” — there are multiitudes of small, large, and all their sub-systems that each have their own problems and advantages. By blending them into one, they lose their mutual benefits and mesh their worst problems all into one big mess. Once we have a “system,” then we’re really screwed.  I could move to Maryland, or go to the pharmacy across the street from the one that screwed me today.  As bad as they are today, they’ll all be much more equally bad when the standards are the same for all.  Please, please, don’t let the lowest common denominator reign. For me and you both, please don’t support this “reform.”

Universalizing health care can only come at the expense of the benefits of today.

Here’s the day’s news, oh my:

Obama unveils ‘historic’ car efficiency standards
President Barack Obama Tuesday unveiled “historic” efficiency and greenhouse gas standards for US cars, forging a rare moment of unity between auto firms and environmentalists on climate change.  “For the first time in history, we have set in motion a national policy aimed at both increasing gas mileage and decreasing green house gas pollution for all new trucks and cars sold in the United States,” Obama said.

Really, the rhetoric all-too often escapes this guy.  One of the better ones was when he lifted a line from the Gettysburg Address to justify deconstructing veteran health care:

Washington understood that caring for our veterans was more than just a way of thanking them for their service. He recognized the obligation is deeper than that — that when our fellow citizens commit themselves to shed blood for us, that binds our fates with theirs in a way that nothing else can. And in the end, caring for those who have given their fullest measure of devotion to us — and for their families — is a matter of honor — as a nation and as a people.”

Those who gave their “fullest measure of devotion” — actually, Lincoln called it their “last full measure of devotion” (the teleprompter couldn’t get that one right) — died.  So why bother with health care for them?  I’m all for no health care for those who gave their “fullest measure of devotion.”  Now, for those who have survived war in service of their country — a fine and high measure of devotion indeed, deserve the thanks and care of their countrymen.

 So, back to this “historic… national policy aimed at both increasing gas mileage and decreasing green house gas pollution…”   Yeah, okay, it includes SUVs and pickups (that’s called losing the ‘12 election).   But this was already done.  Shall we quote?

To Senator Ed Muskie

The amendments to the Clean Air Act of 1970 which the Senate will soon consider are of critical importance to the success of our public health and environmental programs.

My EPA Administrator, Doug Costle, my Energy Advisor, Jim Schlesinger, and I studied the issues associated with these amendments very carefully before submitting the Administration’s recommendations to the Congress last April. We examined the auto emission schedule proposed by Senators Griffin and Riegle, and found it unnecessarily lax from the technology and fuel economy standpoints, and inadequate in view of the need to protect the health of our citizens in urban areas.

More than 96 million people in at least 48 of our cities breathe air which exceeds the federal health-based air quality standards. Asthma, chronic lung disease, respiratory illness, and cardiovascular attacks are among the health impacts which auto pollution can cause. These effects are particularly severe in children and in the elderly. We cannot hope to have a successful public health program in this country without a major effort to reduce pollutant levels in our air.

Fortunately, however, auto emissions are controllable without jeopardizing our ability to meet fuel economy standards, adding substantially to the cost of automobiles, or costing our economy the jobs we so vitally need. While we have made some progress in reducing auto pollution, the technology is available to do better.

The proposal which I submitted to the Congress, like the Committee bill, will require use of emissions clean-up technology which is inherently more efficient than that being used today. The Griffin-Riegle proposal would encourage continued use of this less efficient technology, thereby compromising our ability to protect public health and achieve our fuel economy goals.

Control of auto pollution also has direct bearing on economic growth and our ability to provide jobs in our cities. Each additional increment of unnecessary pollution-pollution which could be controlled–is wasting those air quality margins which would otherwise be available for development in our urban areas. The unnecessary relaxation of auto emissions standards and clean-up schedule proposed in the Griffin-Riegle amendment would exacerbate the already difficult choices which our cities now face in providing for both economic growth and protection of public health. It would also hinder our program to make increased use of coal.

For these reasons, I remain firmly opposed to the proposal made by Senators Griffin and Riegle.

On another matter, I want to reiterate my support for the Committee’s provisions for protection of air quality in areas which are now cleaner than required by the primary ambient air quality standards, particularly our national parks and wilderness areas. As I stated in my Energy and Environmental Messages, we can achieve our energy goals without sacrificing environmental quality. We can build those power plants which are needed without ruining the air quality of our national parks. Amendments such as those offered by Messrs. Breaux and Emery in the House of Representatives defeat the very purpose for which these spectacular natural areas have been set aside. I urge that you and your colleagues oppose any amendments which would weaken our ability to protect these irreplaceable resources.
An identical letter is being sent to Chairman Randolph and Senator Stafford.

Sincerely,

JIMMY CARTER

Waay too much happening all at once.

I always thought that that “Hundred Days” was a canard, and that the real foolishness — I mean, any more foolish than two and a half trillion dollars in debt — would start after the publicity blitz had subsided and the attention was off the first steps.

There’s some serious issues before us, and, according to the polls, Americans haven’t a clue what they mean.

Gallup, which  has so reliably tracked Americans’ infatuation with this President, reports today:

Americans Green-Light Higher Fuel Efficiency Standards
A recent Gallup Poll reveals solid majority support for higher fuel efficiency standards such as those President Obama announced Tuesday. In March, 80% of Americans said they favored higher fuel efficiency standards for automobiles.

Next we have a “Consumer Watch” poll that shows overwhemling consumer support for hybrids — so long as they don’t cost too much…

Poll finds Americans like hybrids, want them cheaper
A recent online poll shows most Americans support hybrid technology in cars but won’t buy one until costs come down or fuel savings are even better. The survey of 2,000 adults in March by Harris Interactive indicates close to 90 percent believe the United States must become a global leader in producing hybrid technology to reduce dependence on foreign oil, create jobs and curb CO2 emissions.

The same survey, however, faults the cars for being too expensive. Eighty percent said costs and insufficient fuel savings would discourage them from buying a hybrid. The survey, which was released last week, also shows 84 percent of those surveyed support government tax incentives and credits to make hybrids more affordable. That finding, though, comes as the federal government is phasing out the credits.

And don’t miss this is funny line from the poll:

Johnson Controls, which manufactures batteries for hybrid cars, among other things, commissioned the study.

As for “Cap & Trade,” the deception is even greater:

Congress Pushes Cap and Trade, But Just 24% Know What It Is
The gap between Capitol Hill and Main Street is huge when it comes to the so-called “cap-and-trade” legislation being considered in Congress. So wide, in fact, that few voters even know what the proposed legislation is all about.  Given a choice of three options, just 24% of voters can correctly identify the cap-and-trade proposal as something that deals with environmental issues. A slightly higher number (29%) believe the proposal has something to do with regulating Wall Street while 17% think the term applies to health care reform. A plurality (30%) have no idea.

Democrats are pushing the legislation on Capitol Hill, but Democrats around the country are a bit less likely than Republicans and voters not affiliated with either party to know that the concept has something to do with the environment. This helps explain why some Democratic pollsters have advised the president to back away from the term cap-and-trade to describe what he wants to accomplish.

I have seen references to polls of African-Americans which show amazingly small support for the Cap & Trade proposel and its impact on energy prices.  Surely, the President and the Congress understand this, which explains the energy cost subsidies proposed for the poor.  But it’s a huge political mistake. 

When the questions become specific, Americans drop ideaology for self-interest. Here’s a poll:

Minnesota Poll: Don’t tax me, tax my neighbor
Minnesotans have little taste for higher taxes that would hit most people’s pocketbooks, but two-thirds would offer up the wallets of richer folks to help solve the state’s budget woes, a Star Tribune Minnesota Poll has found. When it comes to a broader increase — income tax hikes for most Minnesotans — nearly 60 percent said that would be unacceptable.

Half of the poll respondents said they think the state should use a combination of unspecified tax increases and spending cuts to help erase the state’s $4.6 billion deficit, while another 40 percent said the balancing should be achieved primarily through spending cuts alone. Only 4 percent favored squaring the books primarily with tax increases.

Sounds great, but the structure of “don’t tax me, tax my neighbor” can only last so long.  Experience shows that higher taxes lead to less taxable income and compliance, and, thus, less revenue.  So, taxing the neighbor works for a while.  Cap the rich and trade it for the poor will work for a while.  Then you’ll need another Reagan revolution to fee the system of the inherent inequities in the extremely “progressive”  – or unbalanced — tax code.

Once those Minnesotans realize that the taxes they’d will upon their neighbors will cost themselves, they’ll think twice.  The poll could have been written differently, say, “would you support higher taxes on the wealthy if it leads to lower employment?”  or, “would you tax your neighbor until he cna’t pay anymore, at which point you’ll have to pay?”  Seriously.  Just ask a different question and you’ll get a different result. Frankly, these polls are dumb.

How about these questions:

* would Americans would give up their SUV for a 48 mpg CAFE?
* would Americans would trade their Impala for a Prius?
* would Americans would pay $5.00 a gallon, even with 48 mpg cars?

The fallacies in this entire debate derive from a confusion of costs and benefits, and causes and effects — which the polls disregard.  If the government mandates small cars, it must also mandate higher gasoline or other energy costs. Yet, if energy costs go down, Americans will want bigger cars and they will drive more.  There’s no balance here except that which is either mandated or discovered through the “invisible hand.”  Hate Adam Smith, but he had a far better means to the end than Marx.

These polls seek the feel-good impact of desired outcomes, yet are stuipidly short on the specific impacts of those policies. The Johnson Controlls poll on hybrids is most illuminating, for it does ask about higher costs, which Americans reject.  So what is the solution for JC?  Clearly, get the governemnt to subsidize those costs.  Socialized hybrids solve everything.  Until the dollar crashes, and the cost of batteries gets beyond even the fastest Federal Reserve printing press.

The only way these changes can be put upon the public is without its understanding of what’s really happening.  Polls measure the question asked.  Ask nothing, and that shalt recieve a good looking poll for anything you want,